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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.15+5.28vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+2.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.13+2.46vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.87+5.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.73+1.88vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03-0.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-1.60vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-5.53vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.53+0.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-5.26vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-7.07vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.49Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.46Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.53Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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4.47Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Danielson | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| bella casaretto | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Carly Kieding | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ella Towner | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 32.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.