Race 9A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lucy Meagher 7.9% 7.8% 9.4% 10.0% 7.9% 8.0% 8.9% 9.4% 8.0% 7.0% 6.8% 4.8% 2.6% 1.5%
Katharine Doble 11.3% 9.6% 11.9% 8.7% 8.1% 9.9% 9.6% 7.9% 8.7% 5.6% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Brooke Barry 4.3% 3.9% 4.3% 5.6% 5.1% 5.2% 6.1% 5.6% 8.7% 9.8% 11.6% 14.4% 11.9% 3.5%
Caroline Sibilly 15.9% 16.9% 13.0% 12.0% 10.7% 7.6% 7.5% 6.0% 4.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
bella casaretto 9.7% 10.1% 11.7% 11.5% 11.0% 8.9% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 6.0% 4.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
Kytalin Hendrickson 6.5% 5.2% 6.4% 7.3% 6.7% 8.4% 8.6% 9.7% 6.8% 9.3% 9.5% 9.9% 3.8% 1.9%
Natalie Fear 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 5.9% 3.8% 4.9% 6.5% 7.4% 12.3% 14.6% 19.1% 10.1%
Eva Ermlich 8.3% 8.9% 7.9% 7.1% 8.3% 8.3% 8.6% 7.4% 8.6% 8.1% 8.3% 5.9% 3.8% 0.5%
Lauren Russler 9.0% 7.1% 8.2% 8.2% 10.7% 7.6% 9.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.5% 6.8% 4.4% 2.8% 0.5%
Meara Conley 1.9% 1.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 3.1% 4.6% 5.3% 5.2% 9.7% 14.6% 24.9% 21.1%
Sophia Hubbard 5.7% 5.3% 5.3% 6.6% 6.6% 8.6% 7.0% 8.8% 9.3% 10.2% 9.1% 7.7% 8.7% 1.1%
Kate Danielson 7.8% 8.8% 8.5% 10.3% 9.3% 9.4% 8.4% 8.3% 7.8% 7.7% 6.0% 4.4% 2.8% 0.5%
Carly Kieding 8.8% 10.8% 7.8% 7.4% 9.4% 8.1% 9.4% 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Jordynn Johnson 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 3.9% 9.5% 14.4% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.