Race 10A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Sibilly 18.0% 15.0% 15.0% 11.8% 10.7% 7.4% 6.1% 5.2% 4.2% 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Kytalin Hendrickson 6.4% 7.7% 7.9% 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 8.8% 9.8% 8.9% 8.9% 6.4% 4.1% 0.8%
Katharine Doble 9.3% 11.2% 9.4% 9.5% 8.3% 9.9% 8.9% 7.6% 7.7% 7.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Lucy Meagher 6.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.5% 9.0% 9.2% 7.4% 3.9% 3.4% 0.4%
Sophia Hubbard 4.6% 5.6% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 8.4% 9.0% 10.7% 8.8% 6.7% 2.1%
Kate Danielson 8.4% 7.4% 9.5% 7.9% 8.7% 10.6% 9.5% 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 6.6% 5.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Carly Kieding 9.5% 8.8% 9.9% 10.6% 8.0% 7.6% 9.8% 9.1% 7.7% 7.4% 5.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Lauren Russler 8.9% 9.7% 8.1% 7.6% 9.2% 9.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.5% 7.9% 6.0% 5.0% 3.2% 0.7%
Meara Conley 2.6% 1.9% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 4.0% 2.6% 4.4% 6.1% 9.0% 15.1% 26.9% 19.9%
Brooke Barry 3.8% 3.5% 3.4% 4.3% 4.4% 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 8.5% 8.3% 12.7% 13.8% 11.9% 4.1%
Eva Ermlich 7.7% 7.5% 6.4% 8.9% 9.7% 8.0% 7.7% 9.8% 8.8% 8.6% 6.8% 5.6% 3.9% 0.6%
bella casaretto 10.7% 10.3% 12.0% 11.5% 9.9% 8.4% 8.5% 8.6% 7.0% 5.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Jordynn Johnson 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.0% 3.6% 4.2% 7.3% 14.0% 60.2%
Natalie Fear 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.5% 5.1% 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 7.9% 10.4% 17.9% 18.8% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.