← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.73+6.44vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.03+4.59vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.82+1.34vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.29+1.82vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.06+1.43vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.43-0.67vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.13-0.82vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.84-0.91vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.13-2.69vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.15-3.82vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.47vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.30vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.87-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.44Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
6.59Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
4.34Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
-
5.82Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
6.43Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
5.33Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.18Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.09University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
6.31Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.18Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
-
10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
10.07Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.6% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| bella casaretto | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Kate Danielson | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Meara Conley | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 38.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.