Race 12A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Sibilly 17.0% 14.5% 14.5% 10.4% 12.1% 9.2% 6.6% 5.7% 5.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Katharine Doble 9.2% 11.3% 9.2% 9.0% 11.3% 8.1% 8.2% 9.7% 7.5% 7.8% 4.6% 3.0% 1.1%
Sophia Hubbard 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 7.4% 6.4% 7.7% 8.5% 8.4% 8.4% 11.3% 11.8% 8.2% 5.2%
Kate Danielson 8.8% 7.8% 8.6% 11.3% 8.3% 8.0% 8.9% 9.1% 9.1% 7.1% 7.1% 4.6% 1.3%
Eva Ermlich 8.4% 8.9% 7.4% 9.4% 8.2% 7.0% 9.4% 8.7% 8.9% 7.4% 8.8% 5.5% 2.0%
Carly Kieding 8.5% 8.5% 9.6% 9.5% 8.6% 9.9% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 6.6% 6.4% 5.6% 1.2%
Lucy Meagher 9.2% 9.2% 7.6% 8.0% 6.6% 9.5% 9.7% 8.7% 8.6% 9.4% 6.2% 5.0% 2.3%
Kytalin Hendrickson 6.3% 7.5% 5.9% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 9.0% 9.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.8% 9.1% 2.9%
bella casaretto 11.6% 10.5% 12.3% 10.1% 9.3% 10.4% 8.5% 6.4% 7.0% 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 1.0%
Lauren Russler 9.4% 8.6% 9.0% 7.4% 10.5% 9.0% 9.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 7.0% 3.6% 2.8%
Brooke Barry 3.9% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 4.8% 6.1% 5.8% 8.8% 9.1% 10.9% 11.6% 14.3% 10.2%
Natalie Fear 2.0% 2.7% 2.3% 2.4% 4.1% 4.8% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 7.8% 12.7% 20.3% 27.1%
Meara Conley 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 3.4% 4.3% 5.0% 7.4% 8.6% 17.7% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.