Race 1B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elle Sykes 16.6% 15.8% 15.6% 11.9% 10.6% 8.6% 7.5% 6.0% 2.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sophia Montgomery 8.5% 9.9% 10.0% 8.8% 10.2% 10.0% 10.7% 8.4% 8.9% 7.7% 3.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Laura Hamilton 23.2% 16.2% 15.8% 13.3% 11.0% 7.3% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Karya Basaraner 4.3% 7.1% 8.4% 9.1% 8.3% 8.8% 9.4% 10.4% 9.9% 8.4% 6.8% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0%
Caitlin Derby 2.5% 2.0% 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.7% 6.5% 6.5% 8.1% 10.1% 11.4% 13.1% 14.0% 8.1%
Madeline Murphy 3.6% 4.5% 3.2% 5.0% 5.1% 7.5% 7.9% 10.8% 9.2% 11.3% 9.8% 11.0% 8.5% 2.6%
Sylvia Burns 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 4.1% 5.3% 5.0% 6.3% 7.3% 10.7% 14.6% 18.2% 16.5%
Olivia Drulard 15.5% 14.6% 13.7% 12.7% 11.3% 9.3% 7.0% 6.5% 4.8% 1.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Molly Coghlin 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 4.0% 5.1% 4.4% 7.3% 8.9% 10.6% 10.2% 12.7% 11.3% 9.2% 5.0%
Kate Joslin 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 3.9% 4.9% 6.1% 6.5% 7.3% 12.0% 11.4% 13.8% 14.9% 10.1%
Bailey Kreszswick 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 2.0% 1.2% 2.4% 4.2% 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 17.2% 48.9%
Maddie Janzen 8.6% 9.4% 10.8% 11.1% 12.2% 10.2% 9.5% 8.9% 6.7% 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
Tavia Smith 6.4% 8.2% 7.2% 8.6% 9.2% 10.0% 10.6% 7.6% 9.8% 9.3% 6.0% 4.1% 2.6% 0.4%
Julia Scipione 2.6% 3.1% 2.9% 5.2% 4.4% 7.2% 4.7% 8.4% 9.7% 9.7% 12.1% 13.4% 10.2% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.