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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University2.53+1.93vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.89+0.49vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.40+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester1.17+1.27vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester1.17-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.79-1.14vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.85-3.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy0.99-4.51vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.79-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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2.49Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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3.17Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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4.94Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.85Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Military Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Layton | 22.9% | 24.3% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 31.6% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 20.5% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 28.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 27.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 28.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.