Race 4B

2011-troy-swetnam-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nicholas Chong 14.9% 16.9% 18.8% 15.1% 14.9% 10.6% 5.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Benjamin Kennady 36.0% 24.4% 19.1% 12.2% 6.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ava Kovach 26.9% 26.9% 19.8% 15.0% 7.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Cathriner 5.8% 8.0% 11.2% 15.0% 18.1% 16.9% 13.6% 8.4% 2.6% 0.4%
Alexander Cockerill 4.3% 6.6% 6.7% 8.9% 11.8% 16.3% 19.6% 16.6% 8.3% 0.9%
Patrick Campbell 5.0% 4.9% 6.3% 9.9% 13.2% 16.4% 17.0% 17.5% 9.1% 0.7%
Nicholas Kirk 4.4% 8.5% 10.8% 15.4% 16.6% 16.7% 15.3% 9.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Timothy Kurtin II 1.5% 2.8% 5.1% 4.3% 9.0% 11.4% 15.3% 24.3% 23.5% 2.8%
Trey Brown 1.0% 0.9% 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 6.1% 10.7% 17.7% 46.0% 8.9%
Lyda Murray 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.6% 0.2% 1.1% 1.4% 2.9% 7.5% 86.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.