Race 10A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam Larson 19.2% 17.3% 13.1% 14.0% 11.1% 8.1% 7.0% 4.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Landon Cormie 18.8% 17.1% 14.8% 13.0% 10.9% 8.6% 6.1% 4.4% 3.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Lars Osell 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 10.0% 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 8.6% 8.3% 5.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Joshua Bendura 6.8% 7.1% 7.6% 9.3% 8.2% 9.4% 10.5% 10.3% 9.8% 8.5% 8.3% 3.2% 0.9%
Olivia Sowa 10.0% 10.0% 9.8% 10.3% 11.2% 10.2% 9.7% 9.8% 7.6% 5.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.2%
Luke Manternach 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 7.7% 7.8% 9.3% 8.7% 7.8% 10.8% 10.5% 9.2% 6.0% 1.8%
Sam Riley 7.8% 7.9% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 10.3% 9.9% 9.6% 8.3% 8.8% 6.5% 3.8% 1.0%
Joseph Bonacci 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 7.0% 7.0% 8.5% 10.2% 12.8% 13.1% 13.4% 6.7%
Valerio Palamara 7.7% 8.1% 10.3% 8.1% 8.7% 9.2% 10.4% 10.4% 9.0% 8.8% 5.9% 2.9% 0.4%
Aston Atherton 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 7.6% 7.6% 8.1% 9.0% 11.1% 11.3% 10.1% 9.6% 5.7% 2.2%
Patrick Cashin 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 6.7% 7.0% 10.3% 14.1% 20.2% 17.1%
William Roberts 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 3.1% 4.9% 5.8% 6.4% 10.3% 14.8% 22.9% 18.1%
Sam Woodley 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 4.2% 5.3% 9.5% 17.8% 50.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.