Race 2B

victorian-urn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Laura Hamilton 21.9% 19.3% 15.8% 12.5% 9.0% 6.8% 6.3% 3.5% 2.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Elle Sykes 17.7% 16.3% 14.6% 12.0% 12.2% 9.4% 6.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Sophia Montgomery 8.1% 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 9.8% 10.6% 10.2% 9.9% 7.3% 7.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5%
Olivia Drulard 13.6% 15.3% 14.0% 14.1% 10.9% 8.4% 8.7% 6.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Tavia Smith 5.0% 6.6% 8.2% 10.2% 7.4% 11.1% 10.3% 8.8% 9.2% 7.8% 7.6% 5.1% 1.9% 0.8%
Maddie Janzen 9.3% 8.8% 9.8% 10.6% 12.5% 9.5% 9.7% 8.6% 7.3% 6.4% 4.0% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Karya Basaraner 6.9% 7.7% 8.0% 7.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.7% 9.2% 9.7% 8.2% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8%
Kate Joslin 2.0% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 3.7% 5.9% 5.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.3% 12.3% 13.6% 13.8% 10.6%
Molly Coghlin 3.7% 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 5.4% 5.1% 6.6% 8.1% 11.9% 11.8% 11.3% 11.0% 9.6% 4.5%
Julia Scipione 2.9% 2.7% 2.2% 2.8% 5.4% 6.0% 6.7% 8.4% 8.5% 10.2% 10.6% 13.3% 13.0% 7.3%
Madeline Murphy 3.4% 3.3% 4.4% 5.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.5% 9.5% 9.5% 11.0% 11.0% 9.0% 8.4% 3.8%
Bailey Kreszswick 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% 1.9% 3.2% 4.4% 6.5% 11.1% 15.4% 48.4%
Caitlin Derby 3.4% 2.3% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.6% 4.7% 7.9% 9.4% 10.8% 12.2% 12.7% 11.8% 7.9%
Sylvia Burns 1.5% 1.6% 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 3.1% 5.6% 5.7% 7.1% 7.1% 10.0% 14.0% 21.5% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.