Race 3B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elle Sykes 16.2% 15.2% 14.3% 14.6% 8.7% 10.6% 7.8% 5.2% 4.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Tavia Smith 5.9% 7.6% 7.7% 7.9% 9.9% 9.5% 10.4% 10.9% 8.5% 8.6% 7.0% 4.3% 1.8%
Olivia Drulard 14.7% 14.5% 13.6% 13.0% 11.1% 10.4% 8.3% 6.4% 3.4% 3.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Laura Hamilton 20.7% 18.8% 16.5% 12.7% 10.9% 6.9% 7.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Lydia Frost 2.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 4.3% 6.7% 8.8% 10.8% 17.8% 32.2%
Sophia Montgomery 9.2% 7.2% 9.7% 10.7% 10.8% 10.4% 9.1% 9.9% 6.8% 6.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9%
Madeline Murphy 4.9% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 6.9% 5.5% 7.2% 9.4% 11.6% 11.4% 9.8% 11.0% 7.3%
Karya Basaraner 6.4% 7.9% 7.3% 6.6% 8.3% 11.0% 9.9% 9.8% 10.5% 9.1% 7.1% 4.6% 1.5%
Kate Joslin 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 8.4% 11.5% 14.7% 14.9% 19.4%
Julia Scipione 3.8% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 4.4% 5.1% 7.0% 9.7% 9.1% 9.6% 13.2% 14.2% 13.4%
Caitlin Derby 2.1% 3.4% 3.1% 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 6.2% 7.7% 12.2% 11.1% 12.7% 13.5% 12.6%
Maddie Janzen 8.5% 10.2% 10.6% 10.5% 10.2% 12.2% 8.5% 9.0% 7.2% 5.9% 3.8% 2.7% 0.7%
Molly Coghlin 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.4% 8.7% 8.8% 9.8% 11.8% 12.9% 13.2% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.