Race 4B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia Drulard 15.7% 13.2% 14.9% 13.2% 10.2% 10.9% 7.1% 6.6% 4.4% 1.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Elle Sykes 16.0% 14.9% 14.9% 13.0% 11.2% 9.9% 7.1% 6.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Laura Hamilton 21.0% 17.5% 15.7% 12.9% 11.5% 8.2% 5.9% 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Tavia Smith 6.8% 8.0% 6.2% 9.6% 8.4% 10.2% 10.4% 10.0% 8.7% 8.7% 6.6% 4.9% 1.5%
Maddie Janzen 9.7% 11.0% 11.6% 9.4% 11.7% 8.9% 9.6% 9.8% 7.8% 5.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Kate Joslin 2.7% 1.7% 3.3% 5.1% 3.2% 5.2% 5.5% 7.0% 9.2% 10.3% 12.2% 17.9% 16.7%
Karya Basaraner 7.8% 6.5% 8.6% 6.4% 9.1% 8.8% 10.8% 9.9% 10.2% 9.5% 6.4% 4.4% 1.6%
Madeline Murphy 3.5% 5.8% 3.6% 4.2% 6.7% 7.8% 8.4% 8.9% 10.3% 13.2% 10.7% 9.8% 7.1%
Caitlin Derby 2.9% 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 4.7% 3.7% 6.4% 7.4% 10.2% 10.3% 14.2% 14.1% 16.3%
Lydia Frost 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 5.8% 5.7% 9.6% 12.4% 15.5% 32.5%
Sophia Montgomery 7.9% 9.7% 9.0% 11.4% 9.7% 11.4% 10.4% 9.2% 7.9% 5.9% 4.9% 1.9% 0.7%
Julia Scipione 2.0% 3.6% 2.5% 4.0% 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 7.1% 9.2% 11.2% 13.2% 14.9% 14.4%
Molly Coghlin 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 6.1% 8.0% 8.6% 10.3% 11.9% 13.9% 13.0% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.