Race 5B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elle Sykes 16.4% 16.3% 13.0% 13.7% 13.1% 8.5% 7.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Laura Hamilton 21.6% 19.3% 16.1% 13.3% 11.4% 6.7% 5.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Sophia Montgomery 6.8% 8.4% 10.5% 11.1% 9.6% 10.5% 11.7% 9.4% 8.4% 6.8% 4.5% 1.5% 0.8%
Olivia Drulard 15.4% 15.7% 13.9% 13.1% 10.0% 10.6% 8.7% 5.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2%
Maddie Janzen 11.0% 9.9% 11.3% 11.7% 10.2% 10.7% 10.1% 9.7% 5.6% 5.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Madeline Murphy 4.5% 4.0% 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 7.7% 8.7% 10.0% 11.6% 11.5% 10.8% 8.8% 4.7%
Tavia Smith 8.5% 8.1% 7.9% 7.7% 8.9% 11.6% 10.1% 9.1% 11.7% 6.3% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0%
Karya Basaraner 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 7.9% 10.0% 10.2% 11.2% 10.1% 10.8% 8.2% 5.5% 4.2% 1.0%
Lilly Saffer 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.6% 4.4% 6.6% 9.3% 11.5% 14.4% 16.9% 17.1%
Caitlin Derby 3.2% 3.0% 3.8% 2.8% 4.7% 5.5% 7.9% 7.8% 9.7% 12.9% 13.9% 12.3% 12.5%
Kate Joslin 2.0% 1.7% 4.0% 4.0% 5.6% 6.1% 5.4% 8.9% 10.7% 12.2% 12.9% 14.8% 11.7%
Ariana Schwartz 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 4.5% 4.9% 5.4% 6.8% 11.0% 12.9% 17.9% 25.4%
Isabella Cho 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.6% 3.1% 2.8% 4.6% 7.6% 7.4% 9.9% 13.5% 18.9% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.