Race 6B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia Drulard 15.3% 14.2% 16.7% 12.7% 11.3% 10.2% 8.4% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Caitlin Derby 2.3% 3.5% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.7% 11.6% 14.2% 14.3% 11.1%
Madeline Murphy 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 7.7% 6.4% 6.8% 9.2% 9.6% 11.5% 12.8% 10.9% 9.4% 4.7%
Sophia Montgomery 8.0% 7.8% 11.2% 10.0% 11.2% 9.0% 10.8% 9.9% 8.9% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Laura Hamilton 21.8% 20.6% 14.6% 13.2% 11.0% 6.7% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Elle Sykes 17.4% 17.1% 13.6% 12.8% 12.1% 8.9% 6.6% 5.8% 2.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Maddie Janzen 10.5% 10.3% 11.5% 9.1% 11.9% 12.4% 8.8% 8.9% 6.6% 5.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Karya Basaraner 6.8% 7.7% 6.8% 9.8% 8.2% 9.4% 11.4% 10.8% 10.3% 9.4% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1%
Tavia Smith 6.8% 7.2% 8.2% 8.0% 9.3% 11.0% 12.7% 10.7% 9.1% 6.8% 5.6% 3.5% 1.1%
Kate Joslin 2.8% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 3.3% 5.7% 5.7% 7.5% 10.0% 13.1% 12.9% 14.4% 14.9%
Isabella Cho 1.6% 1.2% 2.3% 2.7% 3.7% 5.7% 4.5% 5.9% 9.8% 10.0% 12.8% 17.9% 21.9%
Lilly Saffer 1.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 5.7% 4.7% 7.4% 8.6% 11.0% 14.2% 16.1% 18.3%
Ariana Schwartz 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 3.0% 2.8% 3.0% 4.9% 7.3% 8.0% 8.2% 13.9% 17.8% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.