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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+3.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.84+2.60vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.69+2.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College0.45+3.36vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.64+0.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.50-2.56vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.36-5.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.80-3.71vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.08-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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3.59Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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8.77Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.26Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University0.080.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 15.9% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.9% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| Julia Scipione | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 10.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Elle Sykes | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Lydia Frost | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 35.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.