Race 8B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia Drulard 15.6% 14.4% 13.4% 12.6% 11.8% 9.9% 8.7% 5.3% 4.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Laura Hamilton 20.4% 20.0% 15.9% 12.8% 10.6% 7.9% 4.3% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elle Sykes 15.2% 15.5% 14.3% 12.8% 11.0% 11.2% 8.3% 4.8% 3.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Maddie Janzen 9.5% 9.8% 9.2% 12.3% 10.1% 10.3% 10.5% 9.0% 8.0% 5.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Tavia Smith 7.3% 7.2% 8.3% 9.8% 9.6% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 10.2% 7.6% 6.7% 4.3% 1.4%
Karya Basaraner 7.1% 6.2% 7.0% 9.8% 8.4% 8.9% 10.0% 11.2% 8.8% 9.0% 6.3% 5.6% 1.7%
Sophia Montgomery 9.0% 9.4% 9.7% 8.2% 10.8% 9.7% 11.2% 9.2% 8.6% 6.1% 4.7% 2.7% 0.7%
Madeline Murphy 3.8% 5.3% 4.3% 4.1% 6.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.9% 10.9% 12.8% 11.4% 10.1% 6.2%
Caitlin Derby 2.6% 2.6% 3.7% 3.3% 5.6% 4.3% 4.8% 7.9% 10.0% 10.3% 14.5% 15.4% 15.0%
Julia Scipione 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 3.7% 4.3% 6.4% 5.9% 7.6% 9.6% 11.5% 13.9% 12.0% 14.8%
Molly Coghlin 3.1% 3.5% 4.9% 5.6% 5.4% 7.1% 7.2% 10.7% 9.7% 12.0% 11.2% 11.9% 7.7%
Lydia Frost 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 3.5% 5.1% 5.4% 5.7% 8.0% 12.2% 17.5% 33.4%
Kate Joslin 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.5% 3.7% 3.8% 7.0% 6.4% 8.8% 11.8% 12.5% 18.1% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.