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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+3.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.36+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.54+4.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.84-0.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-0.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-0.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.50-2.82vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.64-1.42vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.69-5.26vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.12-2.30vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.45-3.86vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.73-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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3.49Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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4.12Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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5.34Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.7Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.14Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Vermont-0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 16.3% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 21.8% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Maddie Janzen | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 7.5% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 15.6% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 9.0% |
| Zia Magill | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.