Race 10B

victorian-urn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Laura Hamilton 23.0% 18.8% 14.5% 13.1% 12.2% 7.5% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Drulard 16.3% 14.9% 14.1% 13.5% 9.7% 11.0% 7.8% 5.5% 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Sophia Montgomery 6.6% 9.4% 10.7% 9.7% 9.6% 12.1% 12.4% 9.1% 8.3% 6.8% 3.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Emaline Ouellette 2.2% 2.2% 3.8% 3.9% 5.5% 5.2% 7.0% 8.7% 10.5% 12.3% 14.7% 16.4% 7.6%
Maddie Janzen 10.6% 10.7% 11.5% 10.7% 10.4% 10.2% 11.4% 9.6% 5.5% 5.1% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Kate Joslin 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 4.2% 6.6% 7.9% 10.8% 11.7% 16.4% 16.3% 9.3%
Elle Sykes 17.1% 15.7% 15.4% 13.5% 11.2% 9.1% 6.8% 5.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Karya Basaraner 6.8% 8.0% 6.9% 8.7% 9.0% 10.4% 11.6% 10.6% 9.5% 9.8% 4.4% 3.3% 1.0%
Sylvia Burns 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 2.9% 4.1% 6.0% 7.1% 10.9% 15.4% 22.3% 18.2%
Julia Scipione 3.4% 3.5% 3.7% 3.1% 5.3% 6.3% 6.4% 9.8% 11.0% 12.6% 16.0% 11.6% 7.3%
Madeline Murphy 4.0% 3.4% 5.6% 7.2% 6.8% 8.7% 8.4% 10.2% 13.3% 11.2% 11.3% 6.9% 3.0%
Zia Magill 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 1.1% 2.0% 3.1% 4.6% 6.6% 7.7% 17.4% 52.3%
Tavia Smith 5.8% 7.7% 7.2% 8.2% 10.1% 11.3% 10.9% 11.2% 10.7% 7.8% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.