← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.36+3.10vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.31+2.16vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.63+0.44vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.50+2.22vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.34vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.84-0.66vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University1.69-1.43vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island0.54+0.50vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College0.64-0.70vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.11-0.52vs Predicted
-
11Boston College0.45-2.07vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.1Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
-
4.16Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
-
3.44Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
6.22Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
-
5.34Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
-
5.57Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
-
8.5University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
8.3Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.48Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.93Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
-
7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Sykes | 16.0% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 15.9% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 23.0% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Karya Basaraner | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Maddie Janzen | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 32.8% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 21.8% |
| Madeline Murphy | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.