Race 1B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Milo Miller 9.6% 10.8% 9.2% 10.9% 10.9% 10.1% 9.8% 8.6% 8.8% 6.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Reed McAllister 10.3% 12.8% 13.2% 9.7% 9.8% 11.3% 8.6% 8.8% 6.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Benjamin Usher 15.2% 12.0% 12.2% 12.2% 11.0% 10.1% 8.0% 7.8% 5.1% 3.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
James Bounds 8.7% 8.9% 8.9% 9.4% 9.2% 8.6% 9.7% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Stefano Palamara 6.7% 8.3% 8.1% 8.9% 9.4% 10.1% 8.6% 10.6% 9.6% 8.6% 7.7% 3.2% 0.2%
Grace Watlington 6.7% 6.4% 6.7% 8.6% 6.0% 9.3% 9.7% 8.6% 11.1% 11.9% 10.5% 4.2% 0.3%
Aidan Young 9.0% 9.6% 10.3% 9.1% 10.5% 9.6% 10.3% 9.3% 8.4% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Robert Chase 19.4% 14.6% 13.4% 13.0% 11.3% 8.5% 7.3% 5.2% 3.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Smith 6.1% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 10.2% 10.2% 12.0% 10.4% 5.8% 0.4%
Kennedy Jones 3.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 6.0% 8.0% 9.1% 11.2% 13.1% 17.2% 10.7% 2.0%
Advik Eswaran 3.2% 3.6% 4.9% 4.8% 6.0% 6.4% 7.8% 8.2% 10.3% 14.2% 18.4% 10.5% 1.6%
Erin Winters 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 11.9% 45.7% 18.3%
Abigail Eck 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 3.3% 13.5% 76.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.