Race 5B

2011-troy-swetnam-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ava Kovach 31.3% 26.6% 19.3% 10.3% 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Nicholas Chong 13.3% 16.9% 18.9% 19.2% 13.2% 10.1% 5.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Benjamin Kennady 33.9% 27.3% 19.2% 12.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Campbell 2.8% 5.2% 7.5% 9.5% 14.4% 16.2% 15.5% 12.9% 11.4% 4.6%
Nicholas Kirk 6.5% 10.4% 10.9% 13.8% 15.2% 15.5% 13.5% 8.2% 4.7% 1.3%
Sarah Douglas 2.5% 3.0% 4.8% 4.8% 9.3% 10.7% 13.6% 14.8% 18.9% 17.6%
Timothy Kurtin II 2.0% 1.5% 4.2% 5.1% 8.5% 9.9% 13.8% 18.6% 19.0% 17.4%
Nicholas Stewart 2.6% 3.3% 5.1% 10.1% 11.0% 11.4% 12.7% 18.0% 15.0% 10.8%
Alexander Cockerill 4.0% 4.9% 7.1% 11.7% 13.4% 13.7% 15.3% 13.8% 12.2% 3.9%
Trey Brown 1.1% 0.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 7.3% 8.7% 11.0% 17.7% 44.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.