Race 12B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sophia Montgomery 8.1% 8.6% 10.3% 8.3% 11.8% 11.4% 11.0% 11.2% 7.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4%
Elle Sykes 16.3% 16.6% 12.3% 15.2% 11.1% 10.6% 7.7% 4.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Laura Hamilton 22.7% 18.3% 16.0% 13.2% 12.1% 8.1% 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Maddie Janzen 8.9% 10.4% 10.8% 11.0% 11.9% 12.7% 9.1% 9.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.2% 0.8%
Tavia Smith 6.4% 7.6% 10.0% 9.2% 9.6% 10.8% 10.8% 9.9% 9.3% 9.1% 4.6% 2.7%
Emaline Ouellette 2.8% 2.4% 2.7% 5.3% 4.7% 4.6% 8.3% 8.9% 11.3% 14.3% 17.9% 16.8%
Kate Joslin 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% 3.1% 4.9% 6.2% 6.8% 8.1% 11.1% 13.4% 17.7% 19.4%
Karya Basaraner 8.4% 7.4% 7.4% 8.4% 9.8% 9.3% 10.2% 12.3% 11.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.9%
Olivia Drulard 14.6% 16.8% 17.4% 13.6% 10.9% 9.9% 8.5% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Isabella Cho 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 2.6% 5.6% 7.8% 9.2% 10.7% 18.3% 33.0%
Madeline Murphy 3.6% 2.9% 4.9% 6.2% 5.6% 7.3% 9.9% 10.5% 12.8% 14.9% 12.7% 8.7%
Julia Scipione 3.2% 3.4% 2.6% 3.6% 4.6% 6.5% 7.3% 10.3% 12.6% 15.7% 16.0% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.