← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.12vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University-0.15+10.67vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.10vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.08+3.96vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute-0.45+7.25vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.79-2.99vs Predicted
-
8Penn State University0.54+2.62vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.32-0.98vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College-0.06+2.63vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.54-6.52vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.27-3.62vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech-0.03-0.69vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania2.47-9.26vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.39-7.02vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University1.30-7.80vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-6.15vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University-1.53-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
12.67Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.96Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
13.25Webb Institute-0.450.0%1st Place
-
4.01Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
-
10.62Penn State University0.540.0%1st Place
-
8.02Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
-
12.63SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
4.48U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.38Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
-
12.31Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
-
4.74University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.98George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.2Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
-
10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
-
15.69Columbia University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 8.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Woods | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 21.5% | 13.5% |
| Peter Herlihy | 16.7% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Barker | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 7.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bender | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 5.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.8% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.