Race 6B

2011-troy-swetnam-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Kennady 35.9% 29.0% 15.2% 11.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Chong 13.3% 15.8% 20.4% 18.0% 13.7% 10.0% 5.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Ava Kovach 27.8% 26.0% 21.5% 14.0% 6.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Kirk 6.1% 7.3% 12.0% 15.1% 17.4% 16.4% 11.8% 7.6% 5.2% 1.1%
Patrick Campbell 4.6% 6.5% 8.2% 7.8% 12.5% 14.3% 17.3% 13.8% 10.6% 4.4%
Alexander Cockerill 5.1% 5.7% 6.5% 11.2% 13.1% 14.3% 14.9% 13.7% 10.2% 5.3%
Trey Brown 1.1% 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 4.3% 6.3% 8.3% 11.8% 20.0% 43.5%
Nicholas Stewart 2.6% 3.3% 5.6% 8.2% 10.6% 12.2% 15.2% 18.2% 14.3% 9.8%
Sarah Douglas 1.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.8% 9.2% 11.7% 11.7% 16.7% 19.8% 16.3%
Timothy Kurtin II 1.7% 2.6% 4.8% 6.5% 7.4% 9.8% 13.7% 15.4% 18.6% 19.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.