Race 2B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Palamara 7.5% 7.6% 7.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 10.2% 10.5% 9.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.2%
Milo Miller 10.8% 8.9% 11.2% 9.8% 10.9% 9.8% 10.1% 10.5% 7.3% 5.4% 3.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Laura Smith 5.7% 7.2% 6.9% 8.0% 6.3% 8.0% 9.8% 8.4% 11.2% 12.2% 11.0% 4.5% 0.6%
Robert Chase 17.8% 17.0% 14.4% 10.9% 11.3% 8.5% 7.0% 5.5% 4.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 6.1% 7.0% 6.2% 6.8% 8.5% 9.4% 9.6% 10.2% 9.6% 10.9% 11.0% 4.2% 0.7%
Reed McAllister 11.7% 12.1% 11.1% 11.7% 9.8% 11.1% 9.2% 8.6% 7.1% 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 4.2% 4.6% 3.8% 5.3% 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 9.0% 11.6% 13.7% 17.2% 10.8% 1.3%
James Bounds 8.5% 7.8% 9.6% 9.1% 8.9% 9.8% 9.1% 10.2% 8.7% 9.5% 6.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Benjamin Usher 13.6% 13.4% 13.2% 11.7% 9.8% 10.1% 7.9% 7.3% 6.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Aidan Young 8.8% 8.6% 9.9% 10.5% 9.8% 9.7% 10.9% 9.2% 9.1% 6.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.1%
Advik Eswaran 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.7% 6.7% 5.9% 6.4% 7.0% 8.9% 14.1% 18.8% 11.8% 1.1%
Erin Winters 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 6.2% 11.7% 46.2% 18.1%
Abigail Eck 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 3.1% 13.1% 77.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.