← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.79+2.84vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.05vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.67vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.39+3.89vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.54-0.63vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University0.54+4.86vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.08+1.87vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.15+4.49vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.30-1.70vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.32-2.95vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.27-3.63vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-7.70vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.11vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute-0.45-1.44vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech-0.03-3.68vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.06-4.51vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University-1.53-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.84Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
-
5.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
4.67University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.89George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.37U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
-
10.86Penn State University0.540.0%1st Place
-
8.87Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.49Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.3Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.05Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.37Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
-
5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
10.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
-
13.56Webb Institute-0.450.0%1st Place
-
12.32Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
-
12.49SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
15.68Columbia University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Herlihy | 18.7% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.8% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.6% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 8.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Woods | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 24.2% | 14.7% |
| Zachary Bender | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 6.5% |
| Luke Barker | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.