← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.27+7.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.60vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+2.39vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.55vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.79-2.17vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.30+1.42vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.39-0.01vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.93vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+1.09vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.08-2.08vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.32-3.76vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech-0.03-0.54vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.38vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University-0.15-2.07vs Predicted
-
16Webb Institute0.04-3.80vs Predicted
-
17Penn State University0.54-6.22vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University-1.53-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.17Fordham University1.270.1%1st Place
-
4.6University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
4.55U. S. Naval Academy2.540.2%1st Place
-
3.83Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
-
8.42Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
-
7.99George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
11.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
-
8.92Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
8.24Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
-
12.46Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
-
12.62SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
12.93Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
12.2Webb Institute0.040.0%1st Place
-
10.78Penn State University0.540.0%1st Place
-
15.76Columbia University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Herlihy | 20.2% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 13.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 6.0% |
| Luke Barker | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
| Advik Eswaran | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 9.8% |
| Liam Taylor | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 7.2% |
| Joseph Murphy | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.