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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+1.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.50vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.30+4.22vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.03+7.25vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08+3.13vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-1.66vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.37+3.08vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47-4.22vs Predicted
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10Penn State University0.40+1.11vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.39-2.90vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.27-3.66vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.32-5.70vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.15-2.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-5.06vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.45-3.40vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-1.53-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.79Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.22Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.25Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.13Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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11.08SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.11Penn State University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.1George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.34Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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12.9Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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13.6Webb Institute-0.450.0%1st Place
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15.69Columbia University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Herlihy | 19.4% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bender | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 6.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.7% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Sullivan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 8.7% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Woods | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 14.7% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.