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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+3.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.03vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79+0.92vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+5.09vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.54+5.66vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-1.48vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.27+0.46vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39-1.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+1.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.54-6.46vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.30-3.54vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.03-0.49vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.32-5.63vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute0.04-2.51vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.37-4.62vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.15-4.02vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-1.53-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65University of Pennsylvania2.470.2%1st Place
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5.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.66Penn State University0.540.0%1st Place
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5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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8.46Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.92George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.46Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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12.51Virginia Tech-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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12.49Webb Institute0.040.0%1st Place
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11.38SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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12.98Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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15.83Columbia University-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Herlihy | 18.3% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Murphy | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 2.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Bender | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 7.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Liam Taylor | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 7.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 10.5% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.