Race 3B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Usher 13.3% 12.9% 11.7% 12.9% 10.8% 9.6% 7.5% 9.0% 5.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 12.8% 12.3% 13.2% 11.6% 11.3% 10.3% 8.8% 7.4% 5.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Robert Chase 16.7% 15.5% 14.7% 12.9% 11.4% 8.2% 8.2% 5.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 7.2% 7.9% 8.9% 9.0% 8.8% 9.6% 10.8% 8.8% 10.9% 10.2% 5.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Grace Watlington 7.0% 6.9% 6.4% 7.1% 9.8% 8.6% 10.8% 9.6% 10.8% 10.3% 8.6% 3.8% 0.3%
James Bounds 8.1% 9.7% 7.7% 7.8% 8.7% 10.8% 10.1% 10.3% 9.8% 8.1% 6.9% 1.8% 0.1%
Aidan Young 9.7% 8.9% 10.4% 10.1% 10.2% 10.3% 8.8% 9.3% 9.6% 7.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Milo Miller 10.7% 10.6% 10.5% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.0% 10.3% 7.1% 6.5% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 4.3% 4.2% 4.8% 4.7% 5.2% 6.6% 7.5% 9.5% 10.4% 13.9% 17.5% 9.8% 1.5%
Laura Smith 6.3% 6.7% 6.5% 8.2% 7.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.7% 11.0% 10.8% 11.4% 3.5% 0.7%
Nicholas Lorenzen 2.6% 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.7% 5.2% 4.9% 6.9% 8.9% 13.6% 22.0% 18.6% 3.9%
Erin Winters 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 4.9% 6.2% 12.6% 45.1% 17.6%
Abigail Eck 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 3.5% 12.8% 75.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.