Race 7B

2011-troy-swetnam-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nicholas Chong 15.8% 15.8% 19.9% 15.0% 15.3% 9.7% 4.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.5%
Benjamin Kennady 35.5% 25.6% 19.8% 11.3% 4.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ava Kovach 27.4% 27.9% 19.6% 15.1% 6.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Stewart 2.1% 4.0% 4.4% 8.6% 9.4% 11.6% 17.6% 15.4% 16.5% 10.4%
Trey Brown 1.4% 1.5% 2.9% 3.9% 3.8% 6.7% 7.8% 11.5% 17.9% 42.6%
Alexander Cockerill 5.3% 5.3% 6.7% 10.0% 13.5% 14.5% 15.1% 14.3% 10.4% 4.9%
Nicholas Kirk 4.6% 9.2% 10.4% 15.9% 17.0% 16.1% 12.6% 8.4% 4.7% 1.1%
Patrick Campbell 3.7% 5.8% 7.7% 9.4% 13.3% 14.5% 14.0% 16.1% 10.1% 5.4%
Timothy Kurtin II 2.4% 2.2% 3.9% 5.6% 6.7% 11.3% 14.7% 14.7% 21.6% 16.9%
Sarah Douglas 1.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.2% 9.9% 10.7% 12.3% 16.3% 18.2% 18.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.