Race 4B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Usher 12.8% 12.8% 13.1% 11.1% 10.1% 10.2% 8.8% 9.0% 6.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Reed McAllister 12.2% 12.3% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 10.0% 10.6% 7.2% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Grace Watlington 7.1% 7.2% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 7.4% 11.1% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 8.8% 3.5% 0.4%
Stefano Palamara 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 8.4% 9.0% 9.4% 8.6% 9.3% 10.4% 9.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.2%
Kennedy Jones 4.2% 4.4% 5.8% 5.6% 5.5% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 11.1% 14.6% 16.1% 8.1% 1.6%
Milo Miller 10.7% 10.7% 9.7% 11.7% 11.2% 10.1% 8.8% 9.8% 6.9% 6.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Robert Chase 18.1% 14.1% 15.6% 12.7% 10.8% 9.4% 7.0% 5.2% 3.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Smith 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 9.4% 9.0% 11.2% 11.3% 11.3% 7.8% 3.4% 0.7%
Aidan Young 9.7% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 10.7% 9.4% 10.3% 8.2% 10.6% 7.6% 4.8% 1.7% 0.1%
James Bounds 7.0% 9.7% 8.4% 9.2% 9.3% 10.7% 9.2% 10.7% 9.7% 8.1% 5.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Nicholas Lorenzen 2.2% 3.1% 2.8% 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.9% 12.2% 23.1% 19.4% 3.0%
Erin Winters 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.8% 7.0% 15.3% 44.5% 16.8%
Abigail Eck 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 3.2% 13.0% 77.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.