Race 8B

2011-troy-swetnam-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Kennady 36.6% 27.5% 17.0% 10.0% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Ava Kovach 29.3% 27.4% 19.7% 13.4% 6.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Chong 13.6% 13.7% 19.9% 19.1% 15.1% 10.9% 4.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Nicholas Kirk 4.6% 9.6% 12.2% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0% 14.1% 7.7% 4.6% 1.6%
Timothy Kurtin II 2.9% 3.0% 4.8% 6.4% 7.2% 8.3% 12.1% 18.3% 18.7% 18.3%
Nicholas Stewart 3.3% 4.0% 5.3% 6.4% 11.3% 13.0% 14.9% 16.0% 16.1% 9.7%
Patrick Campbell 3.1% 5.2% 6.7% 10.6% 13.4% 15.7% 15.7% 14.2% 10.7% 4.7%
Alexander Cockerill 3.9% 5.6% 7.9% 9.6% 14.6% 12.6% 15.9% 15.7% 8.9% 5.3%
Trey Brown 1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 3.5% 4.5% 5.8% 8.4% 10.6% 19.1% 43.7%
Sarah Douglas 1.7% 2.6% 4.5% 6.2% 8.3% 11.7% 12.4% 15.1% 20.8% 16.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.