Race 5B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Milo Miller 10.3% 10.9% 10.4% 9.0% 11.3% 10.1% 9.4% 9.8% 7.4% 5.3% 4.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Robert Chase 18.1% 16.1% 14.9% 11.7% 10.2% 9.4% 7.5% 4.7% 3.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 7.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% 9.7% 9.0% 9.9% 10.3% 10.3% 7.1% 2.4% 0.2%
James Bounds 7.9% 8.0% 9.3% 10.5% 8.9% 8.5% 10.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.9% 6.8% 2.2% 0.1%
Benjamin Usher 12.9% 13.2% 11.5% 12.7% 12.0% 10.0% 8.1% 8.2% 5.9% 3.2% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Reed McAllister 13.2% 11.8% 11.8% 11.6% 11.0% 9.2% 9.1% 8.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Grace Watlington 5.1% 6.0% 7.1% 7.8% 7.8% 8.5% 9.7% 10.4% 11.0% 11.2% 10.9% 4.0% 0.5%
Advik Eswaran 3.9% 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.7% 11.2% 14.3% 17.4% 11.7% 1.7%
Aidan Young 8.0% 10.3% 9.6% 8.8% 10.1% 10.5% 9.7% 9.7% 8.4% 8.2% 5.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 4.5% 4.4% 5.2% 5.7% 4.8% 6.6% 7.2% 9.2% 10.3% 12.7% 17.9% 9.7% 1.9%
Erin Winters 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.5% 4.0% 4.9% 10.5% 47.8% 19.2%
Laura Smith 6.7% 6.3% 6.5% 7.1% 7.6% 8.3% 10.2% 10.3% 11.2% 11.4% 10.1% 4.0% 0.2%
Abigail Eck 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 3.4% 14.8% 75.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.