Race 6B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Milo Miller 9.8% 10.5% 10.6% 9.7% 11.1% 9.2% 10.8% 9.0% 7.8% 7.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 7.1% 9.6% 7.4% 7.8% 9.8% 9.3% 9.2% 9.9% 10.7% 8.9% 6.5% 3.4% 0.4%
Benjamin Usher 13.5% 12.0% 12.2% 11.2% 11.2% 10.7% 9.3% 7.2% 5.3% 3.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
James Bounds 8.6% 7.4% 9.3% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.3% 10.3% 10.3% 7.9% 7.4% 2.6% 0.2%
Laura Smith 6.4% 6.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.8% 8.5% 9.2% 10.6% 11.1% 11.5% 10.1% 5.2% 0.4%
Robert Chase 18.1% 15.6% 14.8% 13.0% 9.6% 9.2% 6.5% 6.2% 4.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Grace Watlington 5.8% 5.9% 6.9% 8.0% 8.2% 10.0% 8.6% 10.1% 10.8% 10.4% 11.0% 4.0% 0.4%
Reed McAllister 12.2% 13.8% 12.8% 12.0% 10.1% 8.6% 8.6% 7.9% 6.9% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Aidan Young 8.9% 8.1% 9.3% 10.2% 11.1% 9.4% 11.2% 8.1% 9.2% 7.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Advik Eswaran 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.7% 5.9% 7.0% 8.8% 10.2% 13.7% 19.0% 10.8% 1.4%
Erin Winters 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 5.8% 10.9% 46.5% 19.4%
Kennedy Jones 4.3% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 4.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.0% 9.2% 15.0% 17.5% 10.0% 1.2%
Abigail Eck 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 13.6% 76.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.