Race 7B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Usher 14.1% 13.8% 12.8% 11.8% 10.9% 9.7% 8.2% 8.2% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 7.8% 8.1% 8.8% 8.5% 9.8% 10.6% 8.0% 11.6% 10.2% 8.8% 5.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Robert Chase 19.2% 15.3% 14.6% 12.3% 10.8% 9.3% 6.7% 6.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 3.5% 4.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 8.0% 9.1% 9.1% 10.8% 14.0% 14.9% 7.0% 0.5%
Milo Miller 10.3% 11.7% 10.9% 11.0% 10.3% 10.0% 10.4% 8.8% 8.0% 4.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
James Bounds 8.8% 8.2% 8.6% 9.6% 9.0% 9.3% 11.0% 9.8% 10.4% 8.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Grace Watlington 6.4% 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 10.1% 10.5% 10.8% 10.7% 7.6% 2.6% 0.3%
Reed McAllister 13.2% 12.3% 11.7% 13.2% 12.6% 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 4.9% 3.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Nicholas Lorenzen 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 4.0% 3.7% 5.4% 6.7% 7.5% 8.6% 13.6% 20.9% 17.3% 3.4%
Aidan Young 10.2% 9.6% 9.4% 10.3% 10.0% 11.0% 10.2% 9.5% 8.5% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Sebastian Beavers 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.1% 7.0% 8.0% 12.2% 15.0% 18.9% 11.9% 2.5%
Erin Winters 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.8% 4.7% 7.6% 13.0% 42.0% 17.2%
Abigail Eck 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 2.8% 3.8% 12.6% 75.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.