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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Chicago0.33+0.42vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44-0.64vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.93-3.10vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.67-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of Chicago0.330.2%1st Place
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2.36Northwestern University0.440.3%1st Place
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1.9Indiana University0.930.4%1st Place
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3.32University of Michigan-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melita Aquino | 23.9% | 28.6% | 29.4% | 18.1% |
| Marius Malkevicius | 25.3% | 28.7% | 30.6% | 15.4% |
| Sean Francois | 42.7% | 31.5% | 18.8% | 7.0% |
| Connor Shope | 8.1% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.