Race 8B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Usher 14.8% 13.0% 13.5% 11.9% 11.1% 10.1% 9.2% 7.4% 4.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Robert Chase 18.9% 15.8% 14.6% 13.0% 11.2% 8.6% 7.1% 4.9% 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 3.6% 5.3% 5.1% 5.5% 7.0% 7.4% 8.9% 9.6% 11.6% 14.9% 13.1% 6.8% 1.1%
James Bounds 8.3% 8.6% 8.4% 9.4% 9.1% 10.3% 10.7% 10.0% 9.3% 8.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Milo Miller 11.6% 10.8% 11.7% 11.1% 11.1% 10.7% 8.5% 8.8% 7.0% 4.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Grace Watlington 7.2% 7.4% 6.8% 8.4% 8.3% 9.0% 9.9% 10.9% 10.8% 11.0% 7.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Reed McAllister 12.2% 12.4% 12.7% 11.8% 11.5% 10.3% 8.8% 7.9% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 7.4% 8.5% 7.8% 9.4% 9.8% 10.4% 10.0% 10.0% 10.4% 8.2% 6.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Sebastian Beavers 3.2% 3.8% 4.9% 4.3% 4.9% 5.0% 7.0% 8.5% 10.5% 14.4% 18.4% 13.8% 1.6%
Aidan Young 9.3% 10.4% 9.4% 10.1% 10.2% 10.5% 10.0% 9.8% 9.6% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Nicholas Lorenzen 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.7% 7.4% 10.7% 13.7% 20.7% 16.6% 3.2%
Erin Winters 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 4.5% 8.2% 14.4% 41.6% 16.6%
Abigail Eck 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 4.6% 12.4% 76.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.