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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3University of Chicago0.33-0.59vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.44-1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.67-1.66vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.93-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Chicago0.330.2%1st Place
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2.37Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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3.34University of Michigan-0.670.1%1st Place
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1.89Indiana University0.930.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melita Aquino | 23.6% | 27.8% | 33.0% | 15.6% |
| Marius Malkevicius | 23.8% | 30.2% | 31.7% | 14.3% |
| Connor Shope | 8.8% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 62.4% |
| Sean Francois | 43.8% | 31.3% | 17.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.