Race 9B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Milo Miller 10.7% 11.9% 10.5% 11.7% 9.9% 10.3% 10.2% 8.2% 7.4% 5.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Robert Chase 17.6% 15.9% 13.8% 13.5% 11.2% 8.6% 6.9% 6.3% 3.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Usher 14.0% 12.8% 12.9% 12.2% 10.2% 10.8% 8.9% 6.8% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 8.3% 8.5% 10.1% 8.1% 9.2% 10.5% 10.0% 10.4% 8.4% 8.0% 5.9% 2.4% 0.3%
Grace Watlington 5.8% 6.3% 6.5% 8.5% 9.1% 8.8% 10.8% 9.9% 10.8% 11.6% 8.3% 3.5% 0.4%
Kennedy Jones 5.1% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 7.5% 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 10.6% 13.7% 14.9% 9.2% 1.2%
Advik Eswaran 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 5.0% 6.1% 6.7% 6.5% 8.9% 11.9% 14.8% 16.2% 10.4% 1.4%
Aidan Young 9.6% 9.2% 10.0% 8.6% 11.1% 10.5% 9.1% 11.0% 9.2% 7.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Sebastian Beavers 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 5.7% 6.6% 7.5% 9.2% 14.2% 20.6% 14.9% 2.1%
Reed McAllister 12.6% 13.8% 12.0% 11.1% 10.7% 9.8% 9.0% 8.5% 6.2% 3.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
James Bounds 8.2% 8.2% 10.2% 9.4% 8.6% 8.6% 10.6% 9.7% 10.1% 8.2% 5.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Erin Winters 0.8% 1.4% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 4.5% 6.4% 13.5% 42.6% 17.5%
Abigail Eck 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 4.2% 11.9% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.