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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.89+1.42vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.40+1.20vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester1.17+1.27vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.85+0.81vs Predicted
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6Colgate University2.53-3.02vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.79-1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy0.99-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester1.17-3.73vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.79-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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3.2Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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4.92Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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5.81Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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2.98Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.92University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Military Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Andrews | 34.7% | 24.3% | 19.8% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 18.7% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 24.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Layton | 21.4% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 29.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 29.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.