Race 10B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Robert Chase 17.6% 16.0% 14.6% 12.5% 11.0% 9.1% 7.5% 4.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 8.3% 7.8% 8.1% 8.5% 9.0% 10.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.6% 7.6% 7.1% 2.6% 0.2%
Benjamin Usher 13.9% 14.9% 11.8% 11.7% 12.5% 9.7% 7.6% 7.0% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Milo Miller 10.2% 10.8% 11.5% 9.8% 10.9% 10.2% 9.8% 8.9% 8.2% 5.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Sebastian Beavers 2.7% 4.0% 3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 7.1% 7.3% 9.9% 13.5% 18.9% 14.8% 3.5%
Reed McAllister 12.4% 12.0% 12.9% 12.4% 11.2% 10.2% 9.2% 8.1% 5.2% 4.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Aidan Young 10.3% 8.7% 8.9% 10.3% 9.6% 9.8% 10.6% 9.2% 9.2% 7.3% 4.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 4.0% 5.2% 5.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.2% 7.6% 9.6% 10.0% 13.4% 16.4% 9.2% 1.4%
Advik Eswaran 4.8% 4.1% 4.6% 5.0% 6.0% 6.2% 7.9% 10.7% 10.8% 14.5% 15.0% 9.2% 1.1%
James Bounds 7.3% 8.8% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 10.1% 10.8% 9.5% 10.2% 7.0% 6.7% 2.5% 0.1%
Grace Watlington 6.6% 6.6% 8.6% 8.8% 8.0% 9.3% 8.7% 10.8% 10.2% 11.3% 8.0% 3.0% 0.2%
Abigail Eck 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 3.8% 13.2% 75.3%
Erin Winters 1.4% 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.6% 5.0% 7.8% 13.2% 41.5% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.