Race 6 - chief-illiniwek-memorial-regatta | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.5

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

2

Melita Aquino & Katy Carlyle

University of Chicago

0.33

+0.42

vs Predicted
3

Sean Francois & Aaron Day

Indiana University

0.93

-1.11

vs Predicted
4

Marius Malkevicius & Caroline Darin

Northwestern University

0.44

-1.65

vs Predicted
6

Connor Shope & Christophe Le Quang

University of Michigan

-0.67

-2.67

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.42

Melita Aquino & Katy Carlyle

University of Chicago

0.33

0.2%

1st Place
1.89

Sean Francois & Aaron Day

Indiana University

0.93

0.4%

1st Place
2.35

Marius Malkevicius & Caroline Darin

Northwestern University

0.44

0.3%

1st Place
3.33

Connor Shope & Christophe Le Quang

University of Michigan

-0.67

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Melita Aquino	23.9%	28.7%	28.4%	19.0%
Sean Francois	42.1%	31.6%	21.0%	5.3%
Marius Malkevicius	26.0%	28.1%	30.8%	15.1%
Connor Shope	8.0%	11.6%	19.8%	60.6%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.