Race 2A

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Grant Adam 22.9% 18.6% 16.4% 14.3% 10.0% 6.2% 4.7% 3.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Ingalls 16.0% 16.4% 14.1% 11.5% 11.3% 9.8% 7.5% 5.6% 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 7.2% 7.9% 8.3% 8.8% 9.6% 9.2% 10.3% 8.3% 6.9% 4.0% 1.1%
Mikhail Lavrenov 3.4% 4.0% 5.1% 4.9% 4.9% 6.1% 7.1% 7.8% 9.3% 10.0% 11.5% 12.0% 9.5% 4.4%
Samuel Rooks 6.5% 6.8% 7.2% 7.7% 8.0% 8.5% 9.8% 9.8% 9.0% 8.3% 9.2% 5.0% 3.5% 0.8%
Nolan Cooper 9.7% 10.3% 10.1% 9.3% 10.2% 10.2% 8.6% 9.4% 8.1% 5.7% 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Fritz Baldauf 9.4% 8.8% 9.1% 10.0% 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 8.9% 7.6% 5.9% 5.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.3%
John Cabell 7.0% 8.2% 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 8.7% 9.4% 8.6% 9.2% 8.8% 7.2% 5.6% 2.8% 0.5%
Daniel van Heeckeren 6.4% 6.5% 8.2% 9.2% 10.2% 9.8% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 8.1% 7.0% 4.9% 2.6% 1.3%
Luke Kenahan 5.9% 6.4% 6.4% 7.3% 6.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 10.0% 8.5% 8.2% 4.6% 1.1%
Oliver Browne 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 5.5% 7.6% 12.0% 21.6% 32.4%
Harrison Nash 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 5.1% 5.4% 6.8% 6.4% 8.8% 8.8% 11.0% 14.3% 12.8% 7.1%
Caleb Burt 2.1% 3.1% 3.0% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 10.1% 12.7% 14.0% 16.2% 7.9%
Talia Trigg 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 2.6% 2.2% 3.6% 5.0% 6.0% 10.4% 20.0% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.