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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.99+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.57-1.62vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.04-1.43vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-2.38-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Northwestern University-0.990.2%1st Place
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1.38University of Chicago0.570.7%1st Place
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2.57Indiana University-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Michigan-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 15.4% | 34.5% | 36.1% | 14.0% |
| Michael Kang | 68.6% | 25.1% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Michelle McKee | 13.5% | 31.1% | 40.4% | 15.0% |
| Steven Luplow | 2.5% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.