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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+6.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.37+4.84vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+2.61vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.10+0.41vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.36+3.49vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.52+1.47vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.60-1.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.43-1.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.34-5.54vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.12-3.16vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.76+0.94vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.42vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.64vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.58-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.035.7%1st Place
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6.84Brown University0.376.5%1st Place
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5.61Fairfield University0.429.7%1st Place
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4.41University of Rhode Island1.1015.3%1st Place
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8.49McGill University-0.363.8%1st Place
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7.47Connecticut College0.524.9%1st Place
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5.91Connecticut College0.608.6%1st Place
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6.47Boston University0.438.0%1st Place
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3.46Brown University1.3423.9%1st Place
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6.84Northeastern University0.126.7%1st Place
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11.94Middlebury College-1.760.8%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.4%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.1%1st Place
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9.26Bates College-0.582.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kenahan | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Ingalls | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Cabell | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Grant Adam | 23.9% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 43.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 8.4% |
| Oliver Browne | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 23.9% | 30.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.