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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+2.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+7.51vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.60+2.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.37+2.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.10-0.57vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.43+0.51vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+0.28vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+2.48vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-1.39vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.58-1.78vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42-6.37vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.12-6.08vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Brown University1.3422.6%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.4%1st Place
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5.93Connecticut College0.609.0%1st Place
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6.83Brown University0.377.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Rhode Island1.1015.3%1st Place
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6.51Boston University0.437.5%1st Place
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7.28Connecticut College0.526.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.035.1%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.5%1st Place
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8.61McGill University-0.363.6%1st Place
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9.22Bates College-0.583.3%1st Place
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5.63Fairfield University0.429.2%1st Place
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6.92Northeastern University0.126.7%1st Place
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11.94Middlebury College-1.760.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 22.6% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sam Ingalls | 15.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Browne | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 23.4% | 32.0% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 7.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Rooks | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.