Race 1B

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matias Martin 21.8% 20.1% 15.5% 12.8% 10.9% 7.4% 5.1% 2.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 11.8% 11.3% 11.7% 12.7% 10.8% 9.3% 9.8% 7.0% 5.8% 4.1% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Lilly Saffer 8.1% 8.1% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 9.2% 9.5% 9.2% 7.8% 8.0% 5.3% 5.0% 3.2% 1.1%
Tyler Meadows 6.0% 5.9% 6.9% 8.4% 7.2% 7.8% 8.6% 8.1% 9.6% 8.9% 7.7% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6%
Charles Case 13.2% 14.1% 12.3% 10.8% 10.8% 8.9% 8.0% 7.5% 5.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Zach Earnshaw 4.8% 4.2% 5.4% 5.0% 6.4% 7.9% 8.0% 8.6% 9.2% 9.8% 10.1% 8.6% 7.6% 4.5%
Pierre Offredi 3.5% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.2% 6.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.7% 9.2% 10.2% 11.2% 9.3% 6.4%
William Procter 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.3% 3.9% 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.6% 9.6% 13.0% 14.9% 14.7%
Joseph Gedraitis 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 5.2% 5.2% 6.8% 7.7% 8.3% 10.5% 15.6% 22.6%
Timothy Cronin 4.5% 4.9% 4.9% 5.7% 5.9% 7.1% 7.4% 9.0% 8.9% 9.3% 10.1% 8.9% 9.0% 4.5%
cole capizzo 3.1% 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 4.9% 7.4% 7.2% 7.7% 10.7% 10.4% 14.1% 15.3%
Richard Kalich 11.3% 10.3% 10.9% 11.3% 11.1% 10.4% 9.3% 7.9% 6.2% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Matthew Straub 3.0% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.2% 7.2% 9.8% 11.9% 13.6% 24.2%
Nolan Wiggins 4.3% 6.0% 7.2% 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 7.5% 8.3% 9.3% 9.2% 8.3% 8.2% 5.9% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.