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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.38+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.01+1.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.33+2.14vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.25+1.26vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.46+5.39vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+2.08vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College-0.13-0.59vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+1.63vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.42-1.75vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.81-1.51vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.74-2.77vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.77vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.42-3.20vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.56-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Brown University0.3812.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Texas1.0123.8%1st Place
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5.14Brown University0.3311.8%1st Place
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5.26Boston University0.2511.9%1st Place
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10.39Bates College-1.462.4%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.694.8%1st Place
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6.41Connecticut College-0.137.0%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.203.1%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University-0.425.9%1st Place
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8.49McGill University-0.813.8%1st Place
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8.23Fairfield University-0.744.6%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.5%1st Place
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9.8Middlebury College-1.421.5%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island-0.564.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charles Case | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Matias Martin | 23.8% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Keller Morrison | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Richard Kalich | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Matthew Straub | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 24.5% |
Zach Earnshaw | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
Lilly Saffer | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
cole capizzo | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.2% |
Tyler Meadows | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
Pierre Offredi | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
Timothy Cronin | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
Joseph Gedraitis | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 21.6% |
William Procter | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 16.1% |
Nolan Wiggins | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.