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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Case 12.1% 13.1% 12.3% 11.9% 11.7% 10.2% 8.3% 6.6% 5.8% 3.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Matias Martin 23.8% 18.2% 15.2% 12.7% 10.5% 7.8% 4.7% 3.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Keller Morrison 11.8% 11.2% 13.2% 10.8% 11.1% 9.2% 9.6% 7.2% 6.0% 3.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 11.9% 12.7% 9.5% 10.9% 10.6% 10.2% 9.4% 8.1% 5.6% 5.1% 2.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Matthew Straub 2.4% 2.5% 2.2% 3.6% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 5.0% 5.6% 7.4% 9.6% 11.3% 15.2% 24.5%
Zach Earnshaw 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 6.2% 5.5% 6.9% 8.4% 7.9% 9.8% 9.3% 8.7% 9.8% 7.8% 4.8%
Lilly Saffer 7.0% 7.9% 8.8% 8.9% 10.3% 10.1% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 7.2% 5.5% 4.4% 2.6% 0.8%
cole capizzo 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.8% 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 8.8% 10.8% 11.8% 13.7% 14.2%
Tyler Meadows 5.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.7% 6.2% 8.5% 8.5% 9.7% 8.9% 9.4% 8.2% 6.5% 5.1% 2.1%
Pierre Offredi 3.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% 9.6% 11.1% 10.9% 8.8% 6.8%
Timothy Cronin 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 8.8% 7.6% 9.6% 9.1% 9.7% 8.1% 9.6% 5.4%
Joseph Gedraitis 2.5% 2.3% 3.1% 3.0% 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 5.7% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 12.3% 15.7% 21.6%
William Procter 1.5% 2.5% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% 4.4% 5.9% 7.5% 6.3% 8.9% 9.6% 12.1% 13.6% 16.1%
Nolan Wiggins 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 7.1% 6.4% 8.5% 8.2% 8.5% 9.8% 9.6% 9.1% 7.3% 5.9% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.