Race 3B

central

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Keller Morrison 12.3% 12.2% 12.0% 12.1% 10.4% 11.0% 7.8% 7.4% 5.8% 4.3% 2.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Matias Martin 22.5% 20.3% 16.1% 12.5% 9.5% 6.5% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 4.1% 5.2% 5.5% 6.8% 6.0% 7.8% 7.4% 9.0% 9.7% 9.3% 7.6% 8.8% 8.2% 4.5%
cole capizzo 2.5% 3.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 6.2% 6.5% 8.1% 8.3% 10.1% 11.3% 13.1% 15.3%
Richard Kalich 12.2% 11.4% 12.7% 9.8% 10.9% 9.7% 8.3% 7.5% 6.4% 4.5% 3.2% 1.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Matthew Straub 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 3.2% 4.3% 5.1% 6.7% 6.7% 9.3% 12.2% 14.7% 24.4%
Tyler Meadows 5.8% 4.7% 6.2% 7.3% 8.3% 8.3% 7.7% 9.5% 7.5% 10.0% 8.7% 8.2% 5.5% 2.4%
Nolan Wiggins 5.1% 6.3% 6.7% 5.8% 7.0% 7.7% 7.8% 9.6% 9.4% 7.9% 8.9% 7.6% 6.6% 3.4%
Charles Case 13.4% 12.0% 11.9% 11.6% 10.9% 9.3% 9.4% 7.0% 5.0% 4.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Lilly Saffer 7.2% 8.5% 9.2% 10.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.2% 8.0% 6.6% 5.9% 3.8% 2.3% 1.2%
Pierre Offredi 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 5.6% 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 6.5% 8.6% 10.4% 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 6.5%
William Procter 2.8% 3.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.5% 9.4% 10.9% 12.1% 12.7% 14.9%
Timothy Cronin 4.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.9% 6.3% 7.0% 8.4% 8.0% 8.4% 8.8% 10.5% 10.3% 8.3% 5.1%
Joseph Gedraitis 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 4.5% 6.8% 8.0% 9.3% 11.1% 16.0% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.