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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University2.53+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester1.17+3.28vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.89-0.50vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+0.96vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.40-1.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.99-1.47vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.85-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.79-3.19vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.79-4.19vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester1.17-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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2.5Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.96Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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3.18Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Military Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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5.83Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Layton | 23.2% | 23.7% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 32.4% | 24.7% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Friedman | 18.7% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 26.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 24.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 24.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.