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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+6.92vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.01+1.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.33+2.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.38+0.99vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.81+3.39vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.46+4.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+2.62vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.25-2.73vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.42-1.69vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.74-1.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College-0.13-4.56vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.56-4.31vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-2.61vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.42-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.3%1st Place
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3.44University of Texas1.0122.7%1st Place
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5.15Brown University0.3310.9%1st Place
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4.99Brown University0.3813.4%1st Place
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8.39McGill University-0.814.5%1st Place
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10.43Bates College-1.462.7%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.9%1st Place
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5.27Boston University0.2510.0%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University-0.426.2%1st Place
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8.37Fairfield University-0.744.5%1st Place
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6.44Connecticut College-0.136.8%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island-0.565.5%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.0%1st Place
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9.59Middlebury College-1.422.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Matias Martin | 22.7% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Case | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Pierre Offredi | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Matthew Straub | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 23.1% |
| cole capizzo | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Meadows | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 23.9% |
| William Procter | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.