← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Texas1.01+2.41vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+6.06vs Predicted
-
3Boston University0.25+2.34vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University-0.42+3.23vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College-0.13+1.28vs Predicted
-
6Brown University0.33-0.73vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+3.22vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island-0.56-0.27vs Predicted
-
9Brown University0.38-3.99vs Predicted
-
10McGill University-0.81-1.49vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-1.36vs Predicted
-
12Fairfield University-0.74-3.65vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College-1.42-3.33vs Predicted
-
14Bates College-1.46-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41University of Texas1.0125.0%1st Place
-
8.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.0%1st Place
-
5.34Boston University0.2510.5%1st Place
-
7.23Northeastern University-0.425.3%1st Place
-
6.28Connecticut College-0.138.6%1st Place
-
5.27Brown University0.3311.7%1st Place
-
10.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.8%1st Place
-
7.73University of Rhode Island-0.564.3%1st Place
-
5.01Brown University0.3811.9%1st Place
-
8.51McGill University-0.813.9%1st Place
-
9.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.8%1st Place
-
8.35Fairfield University-0.743.6%1st Place
-
9.67Middlebury College-1.422.7%1st Place
-
10.29Bates College-1.462.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Martin | 25.0% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Richard Kalich | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Meadows | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 21.5% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Charles Case | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Pierre Offredi | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| cole capizzo | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| William Procter | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.7% |
| Matthew Straub | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.