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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College-0.13+5.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.33+3.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.42+4.22vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.25+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island-0.56+2.46vs Predicted
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6University of Texas1.01-2.52vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.81+1.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.38-3.10vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.74-0.71vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-0.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-2.90vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.78vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.46-2.54vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.42-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Connecticut College-0.137.1%1st Place
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5.27Brown University0.3310.7%1st Place
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7.22Northeastern University-0.425.3%1st Place
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5.25Boston University0.2510.3%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island-0.565.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Texas1.0124.1%1st Place
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8.42McGill University-0.814.7%1st Place
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4.9Brown University0.3813.8%1st Place
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8.29Fairfield University-0.744.5%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.9%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.694.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.5%1st Place
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10.46Bates College-1.462.4%1st Place
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9.8Middlebury College-1.422.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lilly Saffer | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
Keller Morrison | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Tyler Meadows | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
Richard Kalich | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Nolan Wiggins | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
Matias Martin | 24.1% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Pierre Offredi | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
Charles Case | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Timothy Cronin | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
cole capizzo | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.9% |
Zach Earnshaw | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
Joseph Gedraitis | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 21.1% |
Matthew Straub | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 24.6% |
William Procter | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.