← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+4.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.41+4.39vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston4.00+1.66vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.12vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+1.30vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.15+1.42vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.48+2.63vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.92-0.05vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University2.37+0.89vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University2.04+1.13vs Predicted
-
11Washington College2.29-0.81vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin2.72-3.21vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University0.31+1.83vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut1.53-1.61vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.81-6.45vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College3.06-8.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.06U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
-
6.39University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
4.66College of Charleston4.000.2%1st Place
-
5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
6.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
-
7.42Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
-
9.63Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
7.95Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
-
9.89Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
-
11.13Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
10.19Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
14.83Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
-
8.55Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.7SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Stokes | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Zach Runci | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Michael Cornew | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 2.3% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 5.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Boylan | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 66.6% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 24.2% | 14.8% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Steel | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.