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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+4.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+4.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+4.35vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+2.61vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.70vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+5.08vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.00-2.25vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.16vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.48+0.59vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.29+0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.53+1.37vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University2.37-2.03vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.92-4.97vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.72-5.29vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.81-6.45vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.31-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.7SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.08Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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4.75College of Charleston4.000.2%1st Place
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4.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.2%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.29Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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9.97Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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14.9Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Steel | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 6.8% |
| Samuel Stokes | 15.5% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 26.8% | 14.5% |
| Michael Cornew | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Zach Runci | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Boylan | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.