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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.15+6.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+4.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.83+2.26vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.00+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+1.66vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.76vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.92+1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.72+0.85vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.07-1.31vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University2.37+0.29vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04+0.15vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.48-2.14vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.31+1.89vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.53-1.45vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.81-6.25vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.06-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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4.85College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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5.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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7.69Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.29Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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11.15Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.86Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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14.89Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.88SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Liberty | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 13.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zach Runci | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Boylan | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Michael Cornew | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 2.7% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 6.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 13.8% | 67.2% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 26.6% | 15.4% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.