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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.15+6.33vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.72+5.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.83+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+1.60vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.92+2.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.47vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+3.08vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University2.37+1.17vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.00-5.19vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.31+3.77vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.48-2.22vs Predicted
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13Washington College3.07-5.29vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.53-1.43vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.81-6.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.06-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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11.08Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.17Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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4.81College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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14.77Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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9.78Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.71Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Austen Anderson | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Boylan | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zach Runci | 4.6% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 5.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Stokes | 14.8% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 10.8% | 69.5% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 2.2% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin Silveno | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 15.0% | 27.4% | 15.4% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Steel | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.