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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.40+2.11vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.89+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester1.17+2.26vs Predicted
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4Colgate University2.53-1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester1.17+0.26vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.99-1.42vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.85-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.79-3.21vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.79-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Columbia University2.400.2%1st Place
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2.47Cornell University2.890.3%1st Place
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5.26University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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3.0Colgate University2.530.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Rochester1.170.1%1st Place
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4.93Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.1%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Military Academy0.990.0%1st Place
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5.83Hamilton College0.850.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Friedman | 21.3% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 32.0% | 26.9% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Layton | 21.9% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Williams | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Olsen | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 21.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McIvor | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 27.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ventrilla | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.